PHYSICAL CONTENT OF THE PROBLEM OF DETERMINED CHAOS IN THE PROBLEM OF DISCRETE LOGISTIC FORECASTING
Abstract
The physical content of the conditions for the occurrence of deterministic chaos in solving discrete logistic equations used in the modeling of military-economic processes is investigated. The concept and conditions of "failure" of forecasting are introduced. The dependence of forecasting errors on the parameters of logistic equations is investigated. The obtained results allow to manage the quality of discrete forecasting of military-economic processes.
References
Verhulst Р. F. Notis surla quela population suit dans son acoroissement // Corresp. Math. Phys. 10, 1838. - P. 113-121.
Pearl R., Reed L. I. On the rate of growth of the population of the United States since 1790 and its mathematical representation. - Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., (Wash) 6, 1930. -P. 275-288.
Шевченко В. Л. Застосування залежностей з обмеженням зросту для спрощення побудови прогнозуючих моделей воєнно-економічних процесів// 36. наук, праць. Вип. 4 (24) / Редкол.: Шпура М.І. (голова) та ін. - Київ: ННДЦ ОТ і ВБ України, 2004.-С. 102-110
Шустер Г. Детерминированный хаос: Введение: Пер. с англ,- М.: Мир, 1988.-240 с.
Лоскутов А. Ю., Михайлов А. С. Введение в синергетику: Учеб, руководство. - М.: Наука. Гл. ред. физ.-мат. лит., 1990.-272 с.
Амелькин В. В. Дифференциальные уравнения в приложениях. - М.: Наука. Гл. ред. физ.-мат. лит., 1987. - 160 с.
Турчак Л. И. Основы численных методов: Учеб, пособие. - М.: Наука. Гл. ред. физ.-мат. лит., 1987. - 320 с.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
The scientific journal adheres to the principles of Open Access and provides free, immediate, and permanent access to all published materials without financial, technical, or legal barriers for readers.
All articles are published in Open Access under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) license.
Copyright
Authors who publish their works in the journal:
-
retain the copyright to their publications;
-
grant the journal the right of first publication of the article;
-
agree to the distribution of their materials under the CC BY 4.0 license;
-
have the right to reuse, archive, and distribute their works (including in institutional and subject repositories), provided that proper reference is made to the original publication in the journal.




