MODELING THE INFLUENCE OF CLIMATE PARAMETERS ON THE FORMATION OF POTENTIAL AREAS OF VECTOR MOSQUITO SPECIES IN THE NORTHWESTERN BLACK SEA REGION

Abstract

The impact of modern climate change on the formation of conditions for the spread of epidemiologically dangerous mosquitoes in the North-Western Black Sea region was studied. Long-term meteorological data from eight stations and the results of entomological monitoring in the Odessa region were analyzed. A steady increase in air temperature, a change in the precipitation regime and a lengthening of the warm period were established, which contributes to the expansion of the ranges of tropical and subtropical mosquito species. The appearance of the invasive species Aedes albopictus and new representatives of the Anopheles maculipennis s.l. complex for the fauna of Ukraine was confirmed, which indicates an increase in epidemiological risks in the region.